Early Oscar Predictions

With the Academy Awards still over a month away – the ceremony airs February 26th – I decided to take a stab at some extremely early Oscar predictions. Amongst other things, my prediction is that the future belongs to the mad! I only commented on the categories I conceivably could, so sorry to categories like Best Short Documentary and Best Short Film.

I broke my predictions down into three different categories: winner, sleeper, and stealth. Winner being, obviously, the winner, sleeper being a strong favorite that could easily overtake the winner, and stealth being the sort of “wild card” where, while surprising, is extremely possible. I even venture to offer you a “safe bet” you can put your money on.

Tom Hardy and Charlize Theron in "Mad Max: Fury Road"
(Photo by Jasin Boland – © 2012 – Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc)

I think Fury Road cleans up most of the technical noms and secondary categories – with a possible surprise for George Miller. Leo is finally taking Oscar home, and Spotlight wins the big one. The trifecta – editing, director, and picture – will all split unless George Miller takes home the Director trophy. Chivo’s attempt at a three-peat falls short, and Deakins once again – inexplicably – fails to notch a win.

My final Oscar predictions will come a day or two before the ceremony airs, but in the meantime, here are my early predictions:

Credit to the iMDb page for "Spotlight"
(Photo by KERRY HAYES)

BEST PICTURE

Winner: “Spotlight”

Sleeper: “The Revenant”

Stealth: “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Credit to the iMDb page for "The Revenant
(Photo by Kimberley French – © 2015 – Twentieth Century Fox)

BEST ACTOR

Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Revenant”

Sleeper: Michael Fassbender, “Steve Jobs”

Stealth: Eddie Redmayne, “The Danish Girl”

Credit to the iMDb page for "Room"
(Photo by George Kraychyk)

BEST ACTRESS

Winner: Brie Larson, “Room”

Sleeper: Cate Blanchett, “Carol”

Stealth: Charlotte Rampling, “45 Years”

(Warner Bros. Picture – © 2015 Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc. and Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer Pictures Inc. All Rights Reserved.)
(Warner Bros. Picture – © 2015 Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc. and Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer Pictures Inc. All Rights Reserved.)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Winner: Sylvester Stallone, “Creed”

Sleeper: Mark Ruffalo, “Spotlight”

Stealth: Tom Hardy, “The Revenant”

Credit to the iMDb page for "The Danish Girl"
(© 2015 – Focus Features)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Winner: Alicia Vikander, “The Danish Girl”

Sleeper: Rooney Mara, “Carol”

Stealth: Kate Winslet, “Steve Jobs”

Credit to the iMDb page for "The Revenant"
(Photo by Kimberley French – © 2015 – Twentieth Century Fox)

DIRECTING

Winner: Alejandro G. Iñárritu – “The Revenant”

Sleeper: George Miller, “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Stealth: Lenny Abrahamson, “Room”

Credit to the iMDb page for "Inside Out"
(Disney/Pixar)

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Winner: “Inside Out”

Sleeper: “Anomalisa”

Stealth: “Shaun the Sheep Movie”

Credit to the iMDb page for "Carol"
(© 2015 – StudioCanal)

COSTUME DESIGN

Winner: “Carol”

Sleeper: “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Stealth: “Cinderella”

Credit to the iMDb page for "The Look of Silence"
(© Drafthouse Films)

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Winner: “The Look of Silence”

Sleeper: “Amy”

Stealth: “Cartel Land”

Credit to the iMDb page for "Mad Max: Fury Road"
(Photo by Jasin Boland – © 2012 – Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc)

MAKEUP AND HAIR STYLING

Winner: “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Sleeper: “The Revenant”

Credit to iMDb page for "The Hunting Ground"
(© Courtesy of Sundance Institute)

ORIGINAL SONG

Winner: “Til It Happens to You” – “The Hunting Ground”

Sleeper: “Writing’s on the Wall” – “Spectre”

Stealth: “Earned It” – “Fifty Shades of Grey”

Credit to the iMDb page of "Mad Max: Fury Road"
(Photo by Jasin Boland – © 2012 – Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc)

SOUND EDITING

Winner: “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Sleeper: “Star Wars: The Force Awakens”

Stealth: “The Revenant”

Credit tot he iMDb page for "Mad Max: Fury Road"
(Photo by Jasin Boland – © 2012 – Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc)

FILM EDITING

Winner: “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Sleeper: “The Big Short”

Stealth: “Spotlight”

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FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Winner: “Son of Saul”

Sleeper: “Mustang”

Stealth: “Embrace of the Serpent”

Credit to the iMDb page for "Carol"
(Photo by WILSON WEBB – © 2015 THE WEINSTEIN COMPANY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.)

ORIGINAL SCORE

Winner: “Carol”

Sleeper: “Star Wars: The Force Awakens”

Stealth: “Sicario”

Credit to theiMDb page for "Mad Max: Fury Road"
(Photo by Jasin Boland – © 2012 – Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc)

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Winner: “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Sleeper: “The Revenant”

Stealth: “The Martian”

Credit to iMDb page for "Mad Max: Fury Road"
(Photo by Jasin Boland – © 2012 – Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc)

VISUAL EFFECTS

Winner: “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Sleeper: “Star Wars: The Force Awakens”

Stealth: “Ex Machina”

Credit to iMDb page for "The Big Short"
(Photo by Jaap Buitendijk – © 2015 Paramount Pictures)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Winner: “The Big Short”

Sleeper: “The Martian”

Stealth: “Room”

Credit to iMDb page for "Spotlight"
(Photo by Kerry Hayes – © 2015 – Open Road Films)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Winner: “Spotlight”

Sleeper: “Straight Outta Compton”

Stealth: “Inside Out”

Credit to iMDb page for "Mad Max: Fury Road"
(Photo by Jasin Boland – © 2012 – Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Winner: “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Sleeper: “The Revenant”

Stealth: “Sicario”

Safe Bet: Brie Larson for Best Actress

There you have it, folks. What do you guys think?

Jovanni Ibarra
jovannixibarra@gmail.com